Region to have wetter 'dry' season
WOOLOOGA’S Ted Dray has been keeping rainfall records since 1947 and says last month was our second-wettest September since.
“They (the Bureau of Meteorology) reckon we’ll get six or seven cyclones this wet season, with one crossing the Coast.
“I think we’ll get a lot of storms. I don’t know about the cyclones though,” Mr Dray told The Gympie Times.
“We’ve had very muggy weather in the past few days and that almost always brings storms,” he said.
Mr Dray’s predictions are supported by the boffins at the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), who say we are in the midst of a La Nina effect – the opposite of El Nino – which tends to bring droughts to our part of the world.
In its latest Weekly Tropical Climate Note, the BOM says “the La Nina event in the Pacific Ocean continues to strengthen”.
“All computer models surveyed by the Bureau predict the La Nina will last through the southern hemisphere spring, with the majority indicating the event will persist into at least early 2011,” it says.
And that’s fine with Mr Dray – and it’s a safe bet those on tank water, and the region’s farmers and fire-fighters share his enthusiasm.
“Generally in September we get the least rainfall of any month,” he said.
“Even if it gets dry in November and December, it won’t be so serious because everyone’s had a good start. We look like having a good fire season. We were wanting to burn a bit of country but we can’t get it to burn because it’s too green and wet.
“September was fairly wet from 1947 to 1950 and then there was the drought of ’51.
“I hope we don’t get a drought like it, after the wet years we may have coming up now,” he said.
And a drought, after some years of wet weather does seem to be what people suggest. But in the meantime it seems to be a case of letting the good times roll as far as pasture and crop growth is concerned.
According to BOM, the chance of exceeding median rainfall for October to December is now more than 60 per cent across most of Queensland.
These odds, the Bureau says, suggest for every 10 years with similar ocean conditions, about seven would be wetter than average.