WE SAY: PUP collapse to edge LNP clear?
OUR VIEW: QUEENSLAND'S major parties are stepping up polling to try to puzzle through how they will fare in state elections early next year.
Campbell Newman has been unpopular, and the Liberal National Party he fronts has taken a punt announcing it will lease public assets to get around Queenslanders' unabashed hatred of selling them.
It remains to be seen if the LNP can sell "leases" or whether the plan will be seen as "sales", but early indications are that the LNP is soaking up support from up a collapse in the Palmer United Party vote.
But the LNP always expected to have the huge majority it took in 2012 shaved in 2015.
Of the 89 seats in the Legislative Assembly, it claimed a record 78. Defections and by-elections whittled that to 73.
To be forced out of office outright, the LNP would have to lose 23 seats. Most unlikely.
A hung parliament, however, is possible.
The PUP will focus on country LNP seats, leaving the greater metropolitan area to the Labor Party.
But the ALP has its problems, too. Though it will claw back some seats, it will fail again unless it can bore in on big issues in electorates. In short, there will be no surprises next year: anything could happen.