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Is there a ghost swell on the way?

Nice try kid but is this as good as it gets? Another flat day at the beach at Alex as speculation - or wishful thinking - holds the tantalising promise of a one-day swell Sunday.
Nice try kid but is this as good as it gets? Another flat day at the beach at Alex as speculation - or wishful thinking - holds the tantalising promise of a one-day swell Sunday. Patrick Woods

WAS it a case of the collective yearning of surfers from the Gold Coast to Noosa somehow infiltrating the synapses of the Bureau of Meteorology's super MetEye computer, a glitch in the system or is there a sneak one-day super swell on the way?

After weeks of super flat conditions where only the nimble and agile with the ability to time the tide have been able to book a ticket on the kiddie ride, the head says "no" but the heart screams "please".

Sunshine Coast Daily weekend surf forecaster Mike Perry reported the BOM MetEye forecast tool Thursday was showing three to five metres of south swell along the south east Queensland coast Sunday.

Please Huey say that be true, but by no means count on it.

On the Gold Coast Friday morning Mike said it would have been possible to beach start on water skis such were the pancake-like conditions on offer. The Sunshine Coast was showing much the same.

At 6am Thursday Mike says the Brisbane wave buoy jumped from zero to eight feet but the swell was travelling east away from the coast.

His rule of thumb says we need at least two days of south east winds blowing between 25-30 kph to produce a six-foot wind swell.

Leading up to Sunday all the charts show winds from the north dropping out through the day.

Looking further out into the Pacific Mike says swell has been generated by a low off northern New Zealand but given the swell direction, a 240 degree refraction is needed to pump waves our way.

Not one to ever want to call "fooey" on the BOM, his weekend prediction remains flat with a caution.

Overnight into Friday the BOM's forecast of a one-day Sunday 6-10 feet super swell had been tempered to just under five feet inshore, certainly an outcome no surfer would scoff at.

BOM forecaster Kevin Hutchins says the biggest swell will be offshore, straight from the south and likely to pass us by - a bump on the horizon that does no more than tease.

He expects up to five feet of swell inshore the impact of which will be restricted to south-facing beaches.

Will it happen? Time will tell.

Topics:  bom forecast mike perry waves



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