Autumn 'wetter than normal'

Craig Warhurst

PARTS of the Gympie region had another good drenching today with areas like Mooloo receiving 40ml of rain in less than an hour.

Despite rumours being posted on Facebook that Gympie could face a 25m "mother of all floods" at the end of this month, long-range weather forecasters could only confirm that we are likely to have a wet March and a wetter than normal autumn.

The rumours were raised during a Gympie Regional Council meeting yesterday during extensive discussion on the recent flood events (read more in tomorrow's Gympie Times).

The Bureau of Meteorology says there is a 60% chance that Gympie and much of eastern Australia will get more than its median rainfall this autumn due to warmer than normal waters over the Indian Ocean.

Weather website Weatherzone says there is a high (75%) chance of rain falling in the Wide Bay Burnett for 16 of the next 28 days, and only four days out of the next four weeks are expected to be dry.

The forecast is much the same for the Sunshine Coast, but slightly wetter, with a high chance of rain falling on 25 of the next 28 days.

The hemispheric long-wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks, it says. There are four main troughs.

Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the south-west Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America and the Atlantic Ocean.

Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about April 4-8, April 11-15 and April 16-20.

Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible next week, March 23-27 and March 29-April 2, according to Weatherzone.

Weather forecasts can never be 100% accurate, and the more long-range they are the less accurate they tend to be.

Weather watchers can follow the short and long-term forecasts for Gympie, the Wide Bay Burnett and the Sunshine Coast through the Bureau of Meteorology website at http://www.bom.gov.au /qld/forecasts/widebayburnett.shtml or on the Weatherzone website.

Gympie Times

Topics:  autumn, flooding, rain, weather



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